Do lockdowns work? They've become the go-to policy response to the Covid-19 pandemic. They bring a heavy cost, and although there's lots of support, there's lots of criticism as well. So we should be interested in whatever research there is to give evidence whether or not they actually impact infection rates. We look at some of that research, and ponder the real implications for what lockdowns are actually trying to achieve.
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The Mallen Baker Show is aimed at all people who see themselves as change makers, with commentary on issues and change movements with a particular focus on climate change and environment, social issues, free speech and corporate social responsibility.
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Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe, Flaxman et al 2020https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2405-7
Effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 cases, deaths, and demand for hospital services in the UK: a modelling studyhttps://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanpub/article/PIIS2468-2667(20)30133-X/fulltext
Assessing Mandatory Stay‐at‐Home and Business Closure Effects on the Spread of COVID‐19, Brendavid et al 2021https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/eci.13484
Additional Related Papers
Inferring change points in the spread of COVID-19 reveals the effectiveness of interventions, Dehning et al (“Focusing on COVID-19 spread in Germany, we detected change points in the effective growth rate that correlate well with the times of publicly announced interventions.”)https://science.sciencemag.org/content/369/6500/eabb9789
Physical distancing interventions and incidence of coronavirus disease 2019: natural experiment in 149 countrieshttps://www.bmj.com/content/370/bmj.m2743
Covid-19 Mortality: A Matter of Vulnerability Among Nations Facing Limited Margins of Adaptation, Larochelambert et al 2020https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2020.604339/full