Do lockdowns work?

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Mallen Baker
Published at : 19 Jan 2021
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Do lockdowns work? They've become the go-to policy response to the Covid-19 pandemic. They bring a heavy cost, and although there's lots of support, there's lots of criticism as well. So we should be interested in whatever research there is to give evidence whether or not they actually impact infection rates. We look at some of that research, and ponder the real implications for what lockdowns are actually trying to achieve.

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The Mallen Baker Show is aimed at all people who see themselves as change makers, with commentary on issues and change movements with a particular focus on climate change and environment, social issues, free speech and corporate social responsibility.

You can also find videos at:
https://odysee.com/@mallenbaker

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And my website
https://mallenbaker.net

References

Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe, Flaxman et al 2020
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2405-7

Effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 cases, deaths, and demand for hospital services in the UK: a modelling study
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanpub/article/PIIS2468-2667(20)30133-X/fulltext

Assessing Mandatory Stay‐at‐Home and Business Closure Effects on the Spread of COVID‐19, Brendavid et al 2021
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/eci.13484


Additional Related Papers

Inferring change points in the spread of COVID-19 reveals the effectiveness of interventions, Dehning et al (“Focusing on COVID-19 spread in Germany, we detected change points in the effective growth rate that correlate well with the times of publicly announced interventions.”)
https://science.sciencemag.org/content/369/6500/eabb9789

Physical distancing interventions and incidence of coronavirus disease 2019: natural experiment in 149 countries
https://www.bmj.com/content/370/bmj.m2743

Covid-19 Mortality: A Matter of Vulnerability Among Nations Facing Limited Margins of Adaptation, Larochelambert et al 2020
https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2020.604339/full
Coronaviruscovid-19lockdown

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